tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5768887527712554781.post8743681896053572139..comments2023-06-19T09:26:26.664-04:00Comments on NJ HORSEPLAYER: Crime PaysBill Holobowskihttp://www.blogger.com/profile/06267163445590752501noreply@blogger.comBlogger7125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5768887527712554781.post-69265207315160434062013-08-16T12:55:38.110-04:002013-08-16T12:55:38.110-04:00EXTREMELY valid point, which is why I've alway...EXTREMELY valid point, which is why I've always said SSC is perhaps the best tournament around (except for giving out only 2 NHC seats for all of that work). A contest with real money on the line (i.e. live bets) totally changes the contest dynamic. I even remember 1 player in a HPWS contest at Monmouth betting real money on a 102-to-1 shot that hit. That was among 125-150 players if I recall. Guaranteed in a Suffolk-type contest you'd have at least a half dozen who swung for the fences on that kind of horse, so I see your point altogether. Bill Holobowskihttps://www.blogger.com/profile/06267163445590752501noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5768887527712554781.post-28036829926184141302013-08-16T12:31:17.502-04:002013-08-16T12:31:17.502-04:00Ha ha nj always good to have a sense of humor! And...Ha ha nj always good to have a sense of humor! And I give james a lot of credit for doping out that horse. The difference between a long shot in the monmouth contest is you can counter attack. You hit a 70-1 at the ssc if you decided to bet 50 to win you get 3500 a monster score. But not impossible to overcome. If I had a 400 dollar bankroll I could pass you with a 8-1 shot. So there's more figuring involved. Probably not a recommended strategy. But never the least there is opportunity to come back. Plus you were willing to risk your money to get that score I give you credit for ThatAnonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5768887527712554781.post-24714155838495645592013-08-16T09:00:43.866-04:002013-08-16T09:00:43.866-04:00I see your point, Anonymous, and you're right,...I see your point, Anonymous, and you're right, I would never pick 15 horses 40-to-1 or higher just to take stabs. However, in defense of James and 7 other players, Crime Time was 10-to-1 on the morning line; not their fault the betting public was clueless and dismissed the horse all the way up to 41-to-1. I had to shake my head at that one; horse should NEVER have been that high, and a few of us were saying as much at the contest. So I don't think Crime Time was difficult to pick, unlike Caffe d'Oro last year, who had no business winning that race and was priced accordingly. <br /><br />Based on my recent contests, I'm thinking about incorporating your drawing numbers from a hat strategy though ;)Bill Holobowskihttps://www.blogger.com/profile/06267163445590752501noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5768887527712554781.post-10092816655502769372013-08-16T04:37:55.608-04:002013-08-16T04:37:55.608-04:00Nj first let me say it doesn't happen all the ...Nj first let me say it doesn't happen all the time in a 15 race contest. But suffolk should eliminate that part. You have no problem with the format that's fine. But don't pretend your going to a handicapping contest and looking at your racing form because you have to guess which 40-1 50-1 60-1 is going to win. And you don't even know who's 40 50 60-1 can you really call that a contest?<br /><br />As far as your performance being atrocious. I wouldn't call it atrocious. You just didn't circle the 40-1 shot when you had the pen in your hand. Same as last year you didn't circle the 50-1 shot.<br /><br />My suggestion for better results. Take every number thats 10-1 15-1 20-1 put the numbers in a hat draw each race until you have 15 races. Now you can't tell me you can come up with anything better then thatAnonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5768887527712554781.post-55333014438201111012013-08-15T20:10:11.844-04:002013-08-15T20:10:11.844-04:001st Anonymous, I have no problem with the rule or ...1st Anonymous, I have no problem with the rule or the contest format, save for NHC Tour players missing out on Tour points when non-Tour players are factored into the equation. To the contrary, I dislike when sites like Derby Wars caps winners at 15-1, which is too low, IMO.<br /><br />2nd Anonymous, you lost me with that comment. I wrote that my performance was dreadful at Suffolk. Last year I had a good showing, but was atrocious this season, so please clarify. Bill Holobowskihttps://www.blogger.com/profile/06267163445590752501noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5768887527712554781.post-44733456652786336662013-08-14T18:52:45.924-04:002013-08-14T18:52:45.924-04:00Kind of rude of me nhc winner. Didn't mean to ...Kind of rude of me nhc winner. Didn't mean to take anything away from your great performance. <br /><br />Good luck in the finals!Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5768887527712554781.post-19161024208113854962013-08-12T20:48:00.572-04:002013-08-12T20:48:00.572-04:00Tough luck NJ
Suffolk was pretty generous with the...Tough luck NJ<br />Suffolk was pretty generous with their tournament. One big problem with the tournament is no cap! Everything seems to be decided on one race. I guess their position is you don't know the odds. I think it's very tough driving long distances and seeing that 40-1 shot win and not having it the tournament is very much decided from the people who have it! I know on the flip side if you have it your ecstatic. It's just not a true handicapping contest. <br /><br /> Just my 2 centsAnonymousnoreply@blogger.com