Medal Count Key to Breeders Cup Saturday Picks

It's late, and I've got to get up early for a Rutgers-Temple football tailgate, so here are my selections.

I am making a bold call with #11 Medal Count in the Juvenile (Race 8), arguing that the 20-to-1 morning line is too high and may actually creep higher.  I'm making Medal Count my top play of the day.

Otherwise, I have pretty strong conviction about #2 Romantica (GB) in the Filly and Mare Turf (Race 5), #11 Groupie Doll in the Filly and Mare Sprint (Race 6; just could not find another horse there that I think have a shot to knock off my 5-to-2 favorite), and #12 Mizdirection in the Turf Sprint; until she's beaten on Santa Anita's downhill turf course, I will continue to back her (she's 6-for-6 lifetime on the course).

The other Breeders Cup races did not jump out at me, though I think #7 Fort Larned, at an attractive 6-to-1 morning line, can repeat in the Classic.

Without further adieu, here's what I've already done (advance wagers) with an $89 bankroll.

• Race 4: $1 Exacta Box -- 6, 7, 10 
• Race 5: $1 Pick 3 -- 2, 4, 6 with 11 with 12, 14 
• Race 5: $2 Double -- 2 with 11
• Race 6: $1 Pick 3 -- 11 with 12, 14 with 3, 6, 11
• Race 7: $1 Pick 3 -- 12 with 3, 6, 11 with 3, 7
• Race 7: $2 Double -- 12, 14 with 11
• Race 8: $1 Exacta Box -- 3, 6, 11
• Race 8: $0.50 Trifecta Box -- 3, 6, 11
• Race 8: $2 Double -- 11 with 3, 4, 7, 9
• Race 8: $0.50 Pick 3 -- 11 with 3, 7 with 6, 7, 9
• Race 9: $0.50 Pick 4 -- 3, 7 with 6, 7, 9 with 2, 5, 8 with 6, 7
• Race 11: $0.50 Trifecta Box -- 2, 5, 7, 8
• Race 12: $1 Exacta Box -- 3, 6, 7

Good luck on Breeders Cup Saturday!